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Powerful, but pricey
While the growth visibility is reasonably good, the offer leaves no meaningful gains for investors in the near-term.

Short-covering takes toll, Nifty slips below 4,950
The Nifty closed marginally above the support level of 4,940 on short-covering at lower levels. The trading pattern in the Nifty futures and options suggests the index may fall below the 4,900 mark soon. The 5,000 call option added 2.24 million shares in open interest (OI), mostly through change of hands and sell-side trades, indicating strong resistance above the 5,000 level.

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Bankers will remain bankers
We are always better analysts with a 20/20 hindsight. Indeed, an ex post reading about events leading up to a crisis appears logical, and often leaves one with the question about why the evolution of the crisis could not be seen and corrected in time. Still, policy-makers know that such a review and understanding are important to learning from mistakes. Restoring Financial Stability (Wiley) acts as a catalyst to that understanding by offering a comprehensive sequencing of the causes and progression of the build-up of the financial strains that, following the Lehman bust in September 2008, evolved into a full-blown global financial crisis. It is a collection of thematic essays by the faculty of the Stern School of Business at New York University.
International Business

Core sector grows 6.5%

Impact of stimulus, says commerce minister - Arval to increase fleet size, to invest Rs 100 cr this year - Search engine"s director moves HC over obscenity charge - Bharat Forge June qtr net dips 96% - Asian markets mostly up; Nikkei gains 157pts - Biocon surges on three-fold rise in Q1 net - Markets sideways; Nifty up 22pts Double-digit growth in coal and cement production saw the index of six core sector industries growing 6.5 per cent in June 2009 compared to 5.1 per cent last year. The sector grew at 4.8 per cent in the April-June quarter compared to 3.5 per cent for the same period last year. The government was quick to attribute the increase to stimulus packages which it felt had started bearing fruit. “It is gratifying to note that core sector industries have recorded growth during the last three months. June’s growth has been powered by improved production in cement, coal, crude oil and electricity. This is a clear indication that the economic stimulus packages are yielding results,” said Anand Sharma, minister for commerce and industry, on the sidelines of a Ficci conference. The three stimulus packages, which extended fiscal reliefs to various sectors to pump demand, constituted around 3 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP). Sharma defended the government’s decision to continue with fiscal sops and increased government expenditure in the face of rising fiscal deficit which is estimated to be 6.8 per cent in the current fiscal. STIMULATED (Performance of six core industries in June) Base Year: 1993-94 Sector Sector-wise growth rate (%) in production Weight* Jun ‘08 Jun ‘09 Apr-June 2008-09 Apr-June 2009-10 Crude oil 4.2 -4.7 4.0 -0.1 -1.3 Petroleum refinery products 2.0 5.6 -3.7 3.3 -4.1 Coal 3.2 6.1 14.7 8.4 12.7 Electricity 10.2 2.6 7.0 2.0 5.8 Cement 2.0 6.6 12.8 5.8 12.1 Finished steel (carbon) 5.1 10.4 5.3 4.3 3.2 Overall 26.7 5.1 6.5 3.5 4.8 Source: Office of Economic Advisor, Department of Industry *In index of industrial production He also added that the improvement in core sector figures does not indicate that the economy has fully recovered since exports continue to lag. “The various incentives that we have given will remain in place as the export sector is still a cause of worry. More sops might be given in the foreign trade policy to come out in the second half of August,” Sharma added.


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